Forex News

Gold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to around $4,800, snapping the two-day winning streak during the early Asian session on Thursday. The ongoing tensions in the Middle East created a safe-haven rush, but that momentum faded as oil prices surged.

Australia will publish the monthly employment report for March on Thursday at 01:30 GMT, and market participants expect a modest increase in job creation.

The NZD/USD pair is trading near the 0.5910 price region, slightly firmer on Thursday, as modest Kiwi strength meets a still-resilient US Dollar (USD) backdrop. Despite the uptick, gains remain limited as markets continue to assess risk sentiment.

BNY’s Bob Savage highlights that Chinese authorities have raised overseas loan leverage ratios and macroprudential parameters to facilitate outbound and cross-border financing.

Gold price retreats during the session, down nearly 1%, as risk appetite improves and flows rotate toward US equities, pushing the S&P 500 index past the 7,000 figure, poised to test the all-time high at around 7.014.

Silver price halted its advance as a ‘doji candle’ emerged near the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $79.09, a sign of indecision amongst traders, whether to push prices towards the next cycle high at $90.01 —the March 10 high—, or challenge the 100-day SMA key support at $76.67.

United States Net Long-Term TIC Flows registered at $58.6B above expectations ($36.6B) in February

United States Total Net TIC Flows increased to $184.5B in February from previous $-25B

Standard Chartered economists Carol Liao, Moriarty Lam and Shuang Ding highlight that China has become the world’s largest exporter of AI‑related goods, with exports spanning raw materials to hardware and applications.

Alberto Musalem, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of St. Louis, said in an exclusive note he gave on Wednesday that the Oil shock caused by the Middle East war is likely feeding core inflation, he expects it to be near 3% throughout the year.

DBS Group Research economists Taimur Baig and Chua Han Teng argue that recent commodity price shocks will inevitably lift inflation in Singapore, but highlight the role of the Singapore Dollar and policy buffers.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) struggled to build on recent gains, trading near 98.10 on Tuesday in a tight range as mixed US data and conflicting signals from yields capped momentum.

USD/JPY holds firm on Wednesday despite a broadly weaker US Dollar (USD). The pair remains confined within a one-month trading range, as elevated Oil prices linked to tensions in the Middle East continue to weigh on the Japanese Yen (JPY).

MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Michael Wan argues that KRW could outperform in a de-escalation scenario despite vulnerability to prolonged conflict and higher Oil prices. The bank expects the strong AI and technology cycle to continue supporting South Korea.

UOB’s Ho Woei Chen highlights that China’s March data showed a sharp divergence between exports and imports, narrowing the trade surplus to a 13‑month low.

ING analysts Muhammet Mercan, Frantisek Taborsky and James Wilson note that the Turkish Lira (TRY) has stabilised after US-Iran tensions eased, with the Central Bank of Turkey (CBT) maintaining market confidence and a steady USD/TRY path.

The AUD/USD surged near the 0.7160 price region on Wednesday, as investors positioned ahead of key Australian labor market data and continued to assess the broader US Dollar (USD) backdrop amid mixed United States (US) macro signals.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Oil trades around $89.10 on Wednesday at the time of writing, remaining broadly stable on the day after earlier falling to a three-week low near $85.

The GBP/USD halts its advance on Wednesday and remains steady around 1.3570 as optimism about a resumption of US-Iran talks has tempered. At the same time, US equities extended their gains, and the Greenback seems to have bottomed after hitting a six-week low.

EUR/USD regains ground on Wednesday, erasing earlier losses as the US Dollar (USD) continues to weaken, allowing the Euro (EUR) to extend gains for an eighth consecutive day amid improving risk sentiment driven by hopes of renewed US-Iran talks.